América Mineiro
0-1
Juventude
América Mineiro – Juventude
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.02 – 1.28
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: América Mineiro 0-1 Juventude. The model predicted a win for Juventude (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.02 goals for América Mineiro and 1.28 for Juventude. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, América Mineiro took 6 points and Juventude 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for América Mineiro, 0 draws, 1 win for Juventude. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1América Mineiro | 3.60 | 26 % | +2.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -4.4 % |
| 2Juventude | 2.10 | 45 % | -11.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
América Mineiro
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Juventude
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- América Mineiro
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Juventude
- Juventude3-0América Mineiro
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of América Mineiro – Juventude?
Final score: América Mineiro 0-1 Juventude. The model predicted a win for Juventude (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win América Mineiro – Juventude?
Our model gives 2 · Juventude a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: América Mineiro win 28 %, draw 29 %, Juventude win 42 %.