Suriname
2-1
Martinique
Suriname – Martinique
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.83 – 1.17
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Suriname 2-1 Martinique. The model predicted a win for Suriname (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.83 goals for Suriname and 1.17 for Martinique. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Suriname took 8 points and Martinique 2 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Suriname, 1 draw, 0 wins for Martinique. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Suriname | 1.54 | 59 % | -17.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 24 % | -27.7 % |
| 2Martinique | 5.50 | 17 % | +48.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Suriname
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Martinique
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Suriname
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Martinique
- Suriname1-1Martinique
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Suriname – Martinique?
Final score: Suriname 2-1 Martinique. The model predicted a win for Suriname (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Suriname – Martinique?
Our model gives 1 · Suriname a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Suriname win 54 %, draw 19 %, Martinique win 27 %.