Cuba
2-0
Bonaire
Cuba – Bonaire
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 59 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.07 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cuba 2-0 Bonaire. The model predicted a win for Cuba (59 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.07 goals for Cuba and 1.09 for Bonaire. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 80 %. Over their last five matches, Cuba took 11 points and Bonaire 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cuba | 1.13 | 80 % | -33.3 % |
| XDraw | 7.00 | 13 % | +29.8 % |
| 2Bonaire | 13.00 | 7 % | +190.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cuba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bonaire
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cuba – Bonaire?
Final score: Cuba 2-0 Bonaire. The model predicted a win for Cuba (59 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Cuba – Bonaire?
Our model gives 1 · Cuba a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cuba win 59 %, draw 19 %, Bonaire win 22 %.