Guadeloupe
2-2
Barbados
Guadeloupe – Barbados
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 70 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.55 – 1.16
The short version
Final score: Guadeloupe 2-2 Barbados. The model predicted a win for Guadeloupe (70 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.55 goals for Guadeloupe and 1.16 for Barbados. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 49 %. Over their last five matches, Guadeloupe took 6 points and Barbados 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Guadeloupe | 1.86 | 49 % | +30.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 27 % | -51.0 % |
| 2Barbados | 3.80 | 24 % | -43.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Guadeloupe
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Barbados
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Guadeloupe – Barbados?
Final score: Guadeloupe 2-2 Barbados. The model predicted a win for Guadeloupe (70 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Guadeloupe – Barbados?
Our model gives 1 · Guadeloupe a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Guadeloupe win 70 %, draw 15 %, Barbados win 15 %.