Necaxa
2-4
América
Necaxa – América
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 1.88
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Necaxa 2-4 América. The model predicted a win for América (55 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.08 goals for Necaxa and 1.88 for América. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Necaxa took 2 points and América 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Necaxa, 3 draws, 1 win for América. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Necaxa | 4.10 | 23 % | -20.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | +0.2 % |
| 2América | 1.80 | 52 % | -1.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Necaxa
- Last 5 matches
- At home
América
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Necaxa
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- América
- América2-0Necaxa
- Necaxa1-1América
- América2-3Necaxa
- Necaxa1-1América
- Necaxa0-0América
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Necaxa – América?
Final score: Necaxa 2-4 América. The model predicted a win for América (55 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Necaxa – América?
Our model gives 2 · América a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Necaxa win 19 %, draw 26 %, América win 55 %.