Who wins? Editable until kick-off.
Somalia
09:00 PM
Sep 29
Ivory Coast
No odds available for this match.
Somalia
Ivory Coast
| Somalia | Form and statistics | Ivory Coast |
|---|---|---|
| 1386 | Elo | 1688 |
| 0.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 0.80 |
| 1.6 | Shots / match | 12.3 |
| 20 % | Win rate | 70 % |
| 4 | Rest days | 5 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · Ivory Coast a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Somalia win 13 %, draw 18 %, Ivory Coast win 69 %.
The most likely score is 0-1, at 15 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 47 %, and both teams scoring at 41 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (Africa Cup of Nations qualifying), at Felix Houphouet-Boigny.
The model leans towards Ivory Coast away from home (69 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.66 goals for Somalia and 1.88 for Ivory Coast. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Somalia took 7 points and Ivory Coast 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 41 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
No odds available for this match.
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