Stade de Franceville
Gabon
2-0
Niger
Gabon – Niger
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Gabon 2-0 Niger. The model predicted a win for Gabon (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.57 goals for Gabon and 0.98 for Niger. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, Gabon took 1 point and Niger 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Gabon, 0 draws, 1 win for Niger. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gabon | 1.51 | 61 % | -25.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 25 % | -15.0 % |
| 2Niger | 6.50 | 14 % | +74.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Gabon
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Niger
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Gabon
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Niger
- Niger4-3Gabon
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gabon – Niger?
Final score: Gabon 2-0 Niger. The model predicted a win for Gabon (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Gabon – Niger?
Our model gives 1 · Gabon a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Gabon win 50 %, draw 24 %, Niger win 27 %.