Who wins? Editable until kick-off.
Benin
09:00 PM
Sep 29
Mauritania
No odds available for this match.
Benin
Mauritania
| Benin | Form and statistics | Mauritania |
|---|---|---|
| 1486 | Elo | 1454 |
| 0.60 | Goals scored / match | 0.80 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 7.3 | Shots / match | 6.0 |
| 30 % | Win rate | 20 % |
| 4 | Rest days | 5 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Benin a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Benin win 51 %, draw 25 %, Mauritania win 24 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 14 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 41 %, and both teams scoring at 45 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (Africa Cup of Nations qualifying), at Stade Alassane Quattara.
The model leans towards Benin at home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Benin and 0.88 for Mauritania. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Benin took 7 points and Mauritania 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
No odds available for this match.
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