Stade Alassane Quattara
Benin
2-1
Mauritania
Benin – Mauritania
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 0.88
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Benin 2-1 Mauritania. The model predicted a win for Benin (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Benin and 0.88 for Mauritania. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 37 %. Over their last five matches, Benin took 7 points and Mauritania 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Benin | 2.45 | 37 % | +24.7 % |
| XDraw | 2.60 | 35 % | -34.2 % |
| 2Mauritania | 3.30 | 28 % | -21.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Benin
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Mauritania
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Benin – Mauritania?
Final score: Benin 2-1 Mauritania. The model predicted a win for Benin (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Benin – Mauritania?
Our model gives 1 · Benin a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Benin win 51 %, draw 25 %, Mauritania win 24 %.