Slovenia
2-0
North Macedonia
Slovenia – North Macedonia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 0.92
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Slovenia 2-0 North Macedonia. The model predicted a win for Slovenia (55 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.55 goals for Slovenia and 0.92 for North Macedonia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Slovenia took 5 points and North Macedonia 2 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slovenia | 1.60 | 58 % | -12.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -14.9 % |
| 2North Macedonia | 5.50 | 17 % | +19.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Slovenia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
North Macedonia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Slovenia – North Macedonia?
Final score: Slovenia 2-0 North Macedonia. The model predicted a win for Slovenia (55 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Slovenia – North Macedonia?
Our model gives 1 · Slovenia a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Slovenia win 55 %, draw 24 %, North Macedonia win 22 %.