San Marino
0-3
Albania
San Marino – Albania
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 0-213 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.77 – 2.05
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: San Marino 0-3 Albania. The model predicted a win for Albania (67 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.77 goals for San Marino and 2.05 for Albania. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 91 %. Over their last five matches, San Marino took 1 point and Albania 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1San Marino | 46.00 | 2 % | +602.0 % |
| XDraw | 14.00 | 7 % | +144.4 % |
| 2Albania | 1.01 | 91 % | -32.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
San Marino
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Albania
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of San Marino – Albania?
Final score: San Marino 0-3 Albania. The model predicted a win for Albania (67 %): correct prediction.
Who will win San Marino – Albania?
Our model gives 2 · Albania a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: San Marino win 15 %, draw 17 %, Albania win 67 %.