Bulgaria
0-0
Estonia
Bulgaria – Estonia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.02
The short version
Final score: Bulgaria 0-0 Estonia. The model predicted a win for Bulgaria (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.60 goals for Bulgaria and 1.02 for Estonia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bulgaria took 7 points and Estonia 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bulgaria | 1.64 | 56 % | -14.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 26 % | -15.3 % |
| 2Estonia | 5.25 | 18 % | +23.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bulgaria
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Estonia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bulgaria – Estonia?
Final score: Bulgaria 0-0 Estonia. The model predicted a win for Bulgaria (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Bulgaria – Estonia?
Our model gives 1 · Bulgaria a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bulgaria win 52 %, draw 24 %, Estonia win 23 %.