Who wins? Editable until kick-off.
Russia
06:00 PM
Sep 29
Iran
No odds available for this match.
Russia
Iran
| Russia | Form and statistics | Iran |
|---|---|---|
| 1648 | Elo | 1660 |
| 1.90 | Goals scored / match | 1.20 |
| 0.70 | Goals conceded / match | 0.80 |
| 15.9 | Shots / match | 3.7 |
| 60 % | Win rate | 20 % |
| 30 | Rest days | 5 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Russia a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Russia win 55 %, draw 24 %, Iran win 21 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 53 %, and both teams scoring at 54 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (International friendlies), at Kazan Arena.
The model leans towards Russia at home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.77 goals for Russia and 1.05 for Iran. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Russia took 10 points and Iran 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Russia, 0 draws, 0 wins for Iran. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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