Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Zambia
2-0
Togo
Zambia – Togo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 0.97
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Zambia 2-0 Togo. The model predicted a win for Zambia (44 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.29 goals for Zambia and 0.97 for Togo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Zambia took 1 point and Togo 11 points. Over 2.5 goals: 39 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Zambia | 1.90 | 48 % | -15.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.05 | 30 % | -22.3 % |
| 2Togo | 4.00 | 23 % | +20.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Zambia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Togo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Zambia – Togo?
Final score: Zambia 2-0 Togo. The model predicted a win for Zambia (44 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Zambia – Togo?
Our model gives 1 · Zambia a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Zambia win 44 %, draw 25 %, Togo win 30 %.