Who wins? Editable until kick-off.
Uganda
06:00 PM
Sep 29
Libya
No odds available for this match.
Uganda
Libya
| Uganda | Form and statistics | Libya |
|---|---|---|
| 1504 | Elo | 1538 |
| 1.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.30 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 6.2 | Shots / match | 4.1 |
| 40 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 4 | Rest days | 5 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Uganda a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Uganda win 45 %, draw 25 %, Libya win 30 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 42 %, and both teams scoring at 48 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (Africa Cup of Nations qualifying), at Hoima City Stadium.
The model leans towards Uganda at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.33 goals for Uganda and 1.03 for Libya. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Uganda took 2 points and Libya 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
No odds available for this match.
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