Guinea-Bissau
06:00 PM
Sep 29
Nigeria
Guinea-Bissau – Nigeria
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 0-115 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.82 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40 %
- Both teams to score
- 43 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Nigeria away from home (59 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.82 goals for Guinea-Bissau and 1.46 for Nigeria. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Guinea-Bissau took 7 points and Nigeria 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Guinea-Bissau, 0 draws, 1 win for Nigeria. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Guinea-Bissau
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nigeria
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Guinea-Bissau | Form and statistics | Nigeria |
|---|---|---|
| 1440 | Elo | 1691 |
| 0.80 | Goals scored / match | 1.60 |
| 1.30 | Goals conceded / match | 0.80 |
| 4.1 | Shots / match | 4.6 |
| 20 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Guinea-Bissau
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Nigeria
- Guinea-Bissau0-1Nigeria
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Guinea-Bissau – Nigeria?
Our model gives 2 · Nigeria a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Guinea-Bissau win 20 %, draw 22 %, Nigeria win 59 %.
What is the most likely score for Guinea-Bissau – Nigeria?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 15 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.