Ohene Djan Stadium
Ghana
2-4
Gambia
Ghana – Gambia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ghana 2-4 Gambia. The model predicted a win for Ghana (54 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.54 goals for Ghana and 0.89 for Gambia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 63 %. Over their last five matches, Ghana took 4 points and Gambia 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ghana | 1.45 | 63 % | -21.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 23 % | -12.8 % |
| 2Gambia | 6.50 | 14 % | +54.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ghana
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Gambia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ghana – Gambia?
Final score: Ghana 2-4 Gambia. The model predicted a win for Ghana (54 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Ghana – Gambia?
Our model gives 1 · Ghana a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ghana win 54 %, draw 22 %, Gambia win 24 %.