Who wins? Editable until kick-off.

Cape Verde
06:00 PM
Sep 29

Rwanda
No odds available for this match.
Cape Verde
Rwanda
| Cape Verde | Form and statistics | Rwanda |
|---|---|---|
| 1562 | Elo | 1505 |
| 1.20 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 7.7 | Shots / match | 2.3 |
| 10 % | Win rate | 40 % |
| 3 | Rest days | 4 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Cape Verde a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cape Verde win 61 %, draw 21 %, Rwanda win 18 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 14 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 45 %, and both teams scoring at 45 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (Africa Cup of Nations qualifying), at National Stadium Cape Verde.
The model leans towards Cape Verde at home (61 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.68 goals for Cape Verde and 0.79 for Rwanda. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Cape Verde took 3 points and Rwanda 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
No odds available for this match.
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