National Stadium Cape Verde
Cape Verde
1-2
Rwanda
Cape Verde – Rwanda
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.67 – 0.79
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cape Verde 1-2 Rwanda. The model predicted a win for Cape Verde (61 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.67 goals for Cape Verde and 0.79 for Rwanda. Bookmakers say the same thing: 64 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Cape Verde took 3 points and Rwanda 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cape Verde | 1.43 | 64 % | -13.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 24 % | -21.1 % |
| 2Rwanda | 7.50 | 12 % | +35.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cape Verde
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rwanda
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cape Verde – Rwanda?
Final score: Cape Verde 1-2 Rwanda. The model predicted a win for Cape Verde (61 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Cape Verde – Rwanda?
Our model gives 1 · Cape Verde a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cape Verde win 61 %, draw 21 %, Rwanda win 18 %.