Stade d'honneur de Meknès
Madagascar
1-1
Tanzania
Madagascar – Tanzania
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania. The model predicted a win for Madagascar (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Madagascar and 1.02 for Tanzania. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, Madagascar took 6 points and Tanzania 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Madagascar | 2.40 | 38 % | +19.8 % |
| XDraw | 2.75 | 33 % | -31.7 % |
| 2Tanzania | 3.15 | 29 % | -20.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Madagascar
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tanzania
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Madagascar – Tanzania?
Final score: Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania. The model predicted a win for Madagascar (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Madagascar – Tanzania?
Our model gives 1 · Madagascar a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Madagascar win 50 %, draw 25 %, Tanzania win 25 %.