Juba National Stadium
South Sudan
0-5
Egypt
South Sudan – Egypt
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 69 %
- Most likely score
- 0-114 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.68 – 1.92
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: South Sudan 0-5 Egypt. The model predicted a win for Egypt (69 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.68 goals for South Sudan and 1.92 for Egypt. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 77 %. Over their last five matches, South Sudan took 4 points and Egypt 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for South Sudan, 0 draws, 1 win for Egypt. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 42 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1South Sudan | 14.00 | 7 % | +76.7 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | +5.1 % |
| 2Egypt | 1.19 | 77 % | -17.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
South Sudan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Egypt
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- South Sudan
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Egypt
- Egypt3-0South Sudan
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of South Sudan – Egypt?
Final score: South Sudan 0-5 Egypt. The model predicted a win for Egypt (69 %): correct prediction.
Who will win South Sudan – Egypt?
Our model gives 2 · Egypt a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: South Sudan win 13 %, draw 18 %, Egypt win 69 %.