Who wins? Editable until kick-off.
Mozambique
03:00 PM
Sep 29
Sudan
No odds available for this match.
Mozambique
Sudan
| Mozambique | Form and statistics | Sudan |
|---|---|---|
| 1486 | Elo | 1475 |
| 0.90 | Goals scored / match | 0.30 |
| 1.80 | Goals conceded / match | 1.40 |
| 4.9 | Shots / match | 5.0 |
| 20 % | Win rate | 20 % |
| 4 | Rest days | 4 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Mozambique a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mozambique win 47 %, draw 24 %, Sudan win 29 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 40 %, and both teams scoring at 46 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (Africa Cup of Nations qualifying), at Estádio do Zimpeto.
The model leans towards Mozambique at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.30 goals for Mozambique and 0.99 for Sudan. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Mozambique took 1 point and Sudan 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
No odds available for this match.
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