Australia
2-4
Brazil
Australia – Brazil
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.35
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Australia 2-4 Brazil. The model predicted a win for Brazil (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.22 goals for Australia and 1.35 for Brazil. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 70 %. Over their last five matches, Australia took 6 points and Brazil 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Australia, 1 draw, 0 wins for Brazil. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Australia | 8.00 | 12 % | +166.6 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | +27.6 % |
| 2Brazil | 1.34 | 70 % | -43.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Australia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brazil
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Australia
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Brazil
- Australia1-1Brazil
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Australia – Brazil?
Final score: Australia 2-4 Brazil. The model predicted a win for Brazil (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Australia – Brazil?
Our model gives 2 · Brazil a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Australia win 33 %, draw 24 %, Brazil win 42 %.