Northern Ireland
0-0
Hungary
Northern Ireland – Hungary
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary. The model predicted a win for Northern Ireland (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for Northern Ireland and 1.15 for Hungary. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. Over their last five matches, Northern Ireland took 7 points and Hungary 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Northern Ireland | 2.65 | 35 % | +10.4 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 31 % | -28.3 % |
| 2Hungary | 2.75 | 34 % | -6.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Northern Ireland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hungary
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Northern Ireland – Hungary?
Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary. The model predicted a win for Northern Ireland (42 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Northern Ireland – Hungary?
Our model gives 1 · Northern Ireland a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Northern Ireland win 42 %, draw 24 %, Hungary win 34 %.