Leganés
0-2
Castellón
Leganés – Castellón
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.98 – 1.56
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Leganés 0-2 Castellón. The model predicted a win for Castellón (52 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.98 goals for Leganés and 1.56 for Castellón. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 41 %. Over their last five matches, Leganés took 10 points and Castellón 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Leganés, 0 draws, 2 wins for Castellón. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Leganés | 3.10 | 31 % | -31.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -12.9 % |
| 2Castellón | 2.30 | 41 % | +19.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Leganés
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Castellón
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Leganés
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Castellón
- Castellón2-0Leganés
- Leganés0-1Castellón
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leganés – Castellón?
Final score: Leganés 0-2 Castellón. The model predicted a win for Castellón (52 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Leganés – Castellón?
Our model gives 2 · Castellón a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Leganés win 22 %, draw 26 %, Castellón win 52 %.