Harare National Sports Stadium
Zimbabwe
1-2
Congo DR
Zimbabwe – Congo DR
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.94 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Zimbabwe 1-2 Congo DR. The model predicted a win for Congo DR (52 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.94 goals for Zimbabwe and 1.39 for Congo DR. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Zimbabwe took 9 points and Congo DR 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Zimbabwe | 4.50 | 20 % | +10.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 30 % | -29.5 % |
| 2Congo DR | 1.83 | 50 % | -5.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Zimbabwe
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Congo DR
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Zimbabwe – Congo DR?
Final score: Zimbabwe 1-2 Congo DR. The model predicted a win for Congo DR (52 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Zimbabwe – Congo DR?
Our model gives 2 · Congo DR a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Zimbabwe win 25 %, draw 24 %, Congo DR win 52 %.