Stade Larbi Zaouli
Central African Republic
0-1
Burkina Faso
Central African Republic – Burkina Faso
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 1.56
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso. The model predicted a win for Burkina Faso (53 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.00 goals for Central African Republic and 1.56 for Burkina Faso. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 67 %. Over their last five matches, Central African Republic took 3 points and Burkina Faso 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Central African Republic | 8.00 | 11 % | +95.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | -3.0 % |
| 2Burkina Faso | 1.36 | 67 % | -28.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Central African Republic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Burkina Faso
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Central African Republic – Burkina Faso?
Final score: Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso. The model predicted a win for Burkina Faso (53 %): correct prediction.