Georgia
0-0
Ukraine
Georgia – Ukraine
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.43 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Georgia 0-0 Ukraine. The model predicted a win for Georgia (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.43 goals for Georgia and 1.18 for Ukraine. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. Over their last five matches, Georgia took 8 points and Ukraine 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Georgia, 1 draw, 1 win for Ukraine. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Georgia | 2.65 | 35 % | +12.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 29 % | -23.1 % |
| 2Ukraine | 2.60 | 36 % | -13.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Georgia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ukraine
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Georgia
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Ukraine
- Georgia1-1Ukraine
- Ukraine1-0Georgia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Georgia – Ukraine?
Final score: Georgia 0-0 Ukraine. The model predicted a win for Georgia (42 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Georgia – Ukraine?
Our model gives 1 · Georgia a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Georgia win 42 %, draw 24 %, Ukraine win 33 %.