Armenia
2-3
Montenegro
Armenia – Montenegro
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.43 – 1.24
The short version
Final score: Armenia 2-3 Montenegro. The model predicted a win for Armenia (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.43 goals for Armenia and 1.24 for Montenegro. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 33 %. Over their last five matches, Armenia took 5 points and Montenegro 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Armenia, 1 draw, 0 wins for Montenegro. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Armenia | 2.85 | 33 % | +18.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.05 | 30 % | -27.1 % |
| 2Montenegro | 2.50 | 37 % | -14.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Armenia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Montenegro
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Armenia
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Montenegro
- Montenegro2-2Armenia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Armenia – Montenegro?
Final score: Armenia 2-3 Montenegro. The model predicted a win for Armenia (42 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Armenia – Montenegro?
Our model gives 1 · Armenia a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Armenia win 42 %, draw 24 %, Montenegro win 34 %.