South Korea
1-4
Uruguay
South Korea – Uruguay
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 0.99
The short version
Final score: South Korea 1-4 Uruguay. The model predicted a win for South Korea (53 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.57 goals for South Korea and 0.99 for Uruguay. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 39 %. Over their last five matches, South Korea took 9 points and Uruguay 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1South Korea | 2.40 | 39 % | +26.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -25.3 % |
| 2Uruguay | 3.10 | 31 % | -26.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
South Korea
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Uruguay
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of South Korea – Uruguay?
Final score: South Korea 1-4 Uruguay. The model predicted a win for South Korea (53 %): missed prediction.
Who will win South Korea – Uruguay?
Our model gives 1 · South Korea a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: South Korea win 53 %, draw 24 %, Uruguay win 24 %.