Japan
2-1
Venezuela
Japan – Venezuela
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 73 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.19 – 0.77
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Japan 2-1 Venezuela. The model predicted a win for Japan (73 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.19 goals for Japan and 0.77 for Venezuela. Bookmakers say the same thing: 75 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Japan took 8 points and Venezuela 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Japan | 1.26 | 75 % | -8.3 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | -9.0 % |
| 2Venezuela | 10.50 | 9 % | +19.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Japan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Venezuela
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Japan – Venezuela?
Final score: Japan 2-1 Venezuela. The model predicted a win for Japan (73 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Japan – Venezuela?
Our model gives 1 · Japan a 73 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Japan win 73 %, draw 16 %, Venezuela win 11 %.