Bolivia
0-2
Paraguay
Bolivia – Paraguay
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.95 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bolivia 0-2 Paraguay. The model predicted a win for Paraguay (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.95 goals for Bolivia and 1.38 for Paraguay. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 65 %. Over their last five matches, Bolivia took 4 points and Paraguay 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Bolivia, 1 draw, 1 win for Paraguay. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bolivia | 6.50 | 15 % | +53.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.60 | 21 % | +16.9 % |
| 2Paraguay | 1.46 | 65 % | -25.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bolivia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Paraguay
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Bolivia
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Paraguay
- Bolivia2-2Paraguay
- Paraguay1-0Bolivia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bolivia – Paraguay?
Final score: Bolivia 0-2 Paraguay. The model predicted a win for Paraguay (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bolivia – Paraguay?
Our model gives 2 · Paraguay a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bolivia win 24 %, draw 25 %, Paraguay win 51 %.