Real Oviedo
2-0
Sporting Gijón
Real Oviedo – Sporting Gijón
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.33 – 1.03
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Real Oviedo 2-0 Sporting Gijón. The model predicted a win for Real Oviedo (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.33 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.03 for Sporting Gijón. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Real Oviedo took 7 points and Sporting Gijón 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Real Oviedo, 3 draws, 2 wins for Sporting Gijón. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Oviedo | 2.10 | 45 % | -9.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -8.3 % |
| 2Sporting Gijón | 3.85 | 25 % | +5.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Real Oviedo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sporting Gijón
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Real Oviedo
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Sporting Gijón
- Real Oviedo1-1Sporting Gijón
- Sporting Gijón3-1Real Oviedo
- Sporting Gijón1-0Real Oviedo
- Real Oviedo0-0Sporting Gijón
- Sporting Gijón1-1Real Oviedo
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Oviedo – Sporting Gijón?
Final score: Real Oviedo 2-0 Sporting Gijón. The model predicted a win for Real Oviedo (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Real Oviedo – Sporting Gijón?
Our model gives 1 · Real Oviedo a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Oviedo win 43 %, draw 30 %, Sporting Gijón win 27 %.