Norway
1-2
Portugal
Norway – Portugal
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.59 – 1.31
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Norway 1-2 Portugal. The model predicted a win for Norway (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.59 goals for Norway and 1.31 for Portugal. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 39 %. Over their last five matches, Norway took 9 points and Portugal 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Norway | 2.40 | 39 % | +9.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -21.8 % |
| 2Portugal | 2.60 | 36 % | -14.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Norway
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Portugal
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Norway – Portugal?
Final score: Norway 1-2 Portugal. The model predicted a win for Norway (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Norway – Portugal?
Our model gives 1 · Norway a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Norway win 45 %, draw 22 %, Portugal win 33 %.