Israel
0-3
Republic of Ireland
Israel – Republic of Ireland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.27
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Israel 0-3 Republic of Ireland. The model predicted a win for Israel (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.36 goals for Israel and 1.27 for Republic of Ireland. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 34 %. Over their last five matches, Israel took 8 points and Republic of Ireland 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Israel | 2.70 | 34 % | +8.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 29 % | -20.9 % |
| 2Republic of Ireland | 2.55 | 36 % | -11.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Israel
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Republic of Ireland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Israel – Republic of Ireland?
Final score: Israel 0-3 Republic of Ireland. The model predicted a win for Israel (40 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Israel – Republic of Ireland?
Our model gives 1 · Israel a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Israel win 40 %, draw 25 %, Republic of Ireland win 35 %.