Germany
0-1
Greece
Germany – Greece
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.26 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Germany 0-1 Greece. The model predicted a win for Germany (68 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.26 goals for Germany and 0.95 for Greece. Bookmakers say the same thing: 65 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Germany took 8 points and Greece 5 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Germany, 0 draws, 0 wins for Greece. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Germany | 1.42 | 65 % | -4.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | -19.2 % |
| 2Greece | 6.00 | 15 % | -8.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Germany
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Greece
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Germany
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Greece
- Germany2-1Greece
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Germany – Greece?
Final score: Germany 0-1 Greece. The model predicted a win for Germany (68 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Germany – Greece?
Our model gives 1 · Germany a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Germany win 68 %, draw 17 %, Greece win 15 %.