Who wins? Editable until kick-off.
Jordan
07:00 PM
Sep 27
Syria
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Jordan | 1.54 | 62 % | -7.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -16.1 % |
| 2Syria | 6.50 | 15 % | +21.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Jordan
Syria
| Jordan | Form and statistics | Syria |
|---|---|---|
| 1510 | Elo | 1454 |
| 1.20 | Goals scored / match | 1.40 |
| 2.50 | Goals conceded / match | 2.10 |
| 6.1 | Shots / match | 6.3 |
| 0 % | Win rate | 20 % |
| 30 | Rest days | 30 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 02:25 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Jordan a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Jordan win 60 %, draw 21 %, Syria win 19 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 49 %, and both teams scoring at 50 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.54 for Jordan, 4.00 for the draw, 6.50 for Syria.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (International friendlies), at King Abdullah II Stadium.
The model leans towards Jordan at home (60 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.72 goals for Jordan and 0.92 for Syria. Bookmakers say the same thing: 62 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Jordan took no points and Syria 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
Nobody has voted yet. Be the first.
