Malta
2-0
Liechtenstein
Malta – Liechtenstein
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.98 – 0.80
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Malta 2-0 Liechtenstein. The model predicted a win for Malta (68 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 1.98 goals for Malta and 0.80 for Liechtenstein. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 76 %. Over their last five matches, Malta took 6 points and Liechtenstein 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Malta, 0 draws, 0 wins for Liechtenstein. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Malta | 1.25 | 76 % | -15.4 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | +3.6 % |
| 2Liechtenstein | 13.00 | 7 % | +75.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Malta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Liechtenstein
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Malta
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Liechtenstein
- Malta2-0Liechtenstein
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Malta – Liechtenstein?
Final score: Malta 2-0 Liechtenstein. The model predicted a win for Malta (68 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Malta – Liechtenstein?
Our model gives 1 · Malta a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Malta win 68 %, draw 19 %, Liechtenstein win 13 %.