Eibar
3-2
Las Palmas
Eibar – Las Palmas
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.12
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Eibar 3-2 Las Palmas. The model predicted a win for Eibar (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Eibar and 1.12 for Las Palmas. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Eibar took 15 points and Las Palmas 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Eibar, 0 draws, 2 wins for Las Palmas. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eibar | 1.90 | 50 % | -20.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | -5.8 % |
| 2Las Palmas | 4.20 | 22 % | +26.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Eibar
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Las Palmas
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Eibar
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Las Palmas
- Eibar3-1Las Palmas
- Las Palmas3-1Eibar
- Eibar0-1Las Palmas
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Eibar – Las Palmas?
Final score: Eibar 3-2 Las Palmas. The model predicted a win for Eibar (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Eibar – Las Palmas?
Our model gives 1 · Eibar a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Eibar win 42 %, draw 28 %, Las Palmas win 30 %.