Serbia
1-2
Netherlands
Serbia – Netherlands
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.01 – 1.87
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Serbia 1-2 Netherlands. The model predicted a win for Netherlands (60 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.01 goals for Serbia and 1.87 for Netherlands. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 66 %. Over their last five matches, Serbia took 3 points and Netherlands 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Serbia | 6.50 | 14 % | +35.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | -10.8 % |
| 2Netherlands | 1.40 | 66 % | -15.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Serbia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Netherlands
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Serbia – Netherlands?
Final score: Serbia 1-2 Netherlands. The model predicted a win for Netherlands (60 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Serbia – Netherlands?
Our model gives 2 · Netherlands a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Serbia win 21 %, draw 19 %, Netherlands win 60 %.