Denmark
2-0
Wales
Denmark – Wales
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.13 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Denmark 2-0 Wales. The model predicted a win for Denmark (67 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.13 goals for Denmark and 0.95 for Wales. Bookmakers say the same thing: 66 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Denmark took 8 points and Wales 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Denmark | 1.40 | 66 % | -6.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.60 | 20 % | -19.6 % |
| 2Wales | 6.50 | 14 % | +0.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Denmark
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Wales
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Denmark – Wales?
Final score: Denmark 2-0 Wales. The model predicted a win for Denmark (67 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Denmark – Wales?
Our model gives 1 · Denmark a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Denmark win 67 %, draw 17 %, Wales win 15 %.