Mallorca
0-1
Almería
Mallorca – Almería
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.03
The short version
Final score: Mallorca 0-1 Almería. The model predicted a win for Mallorca (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.52 goals for Mallorca and 1.03 for Almería. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Mallorca took 10 points and Almería 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Mallorca, 2 draws, 1 win for Almería. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mallorca | 2.10 | 45 % | -1.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 30 % | -7.5 % |
| 2Almería | 3.70 | 26 % | -9.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Mallorca
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Almería
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Mallorca
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Almería
- Mallorca2-2Almería
- Almería0-0Mallorca
- Almería3-0Mallorca
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mallorca – Almería?
Final score: Mallorca 0-1 Almería. The model predicted a win for Mallorca (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Mallorca – Almería?
Our model gives 1 · Mallorca a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mallorca win 47 %, draw 29 %, Almería win 24 %.