Real Valladolid
3-1
Córdoba
Real Valladolid – Córdoba
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 1.30
The short version
Final score: Real Valladolid 3-1 Córdoba. The model predicted a win for Córdoba (38 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.13 goals for Real Valladolid and 1.30 for Córdoba. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Real Valladolid took 5 points and Córdoba 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Real Valladolid, 1 draw, 1 win for Córdoba. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Valladolid | 2.35 | 40 % | -22.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | -0.3 % |
| 2Córdoba | 2.95 | 32 % | +11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Real Valladolid
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Córdoba
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Real Valladolid
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Córdoba
- Córdoba3-1Real Valladolid
- Real Valladolid0-0Córdoba
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Valladolid – Córdoba?
Final score: Real Valladolid 3-1 Córdoba. The model predicted a win for Córdoba (38 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Real Valladolid – Córdoba?
Our model gives 2 · Córdoba a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Valladolid win 33 %, draw 29 %, Córdoba win 38 %.