Who wins? Editable until kick-off.
Vanuatu
06:00 AM
Sep 27
New Caledonia
No odds available for this match.
Vanuatu
New Caledonia
| Vanuatu | Form and statistics | New Caledonia |
|---|---|---|
| 1474 | Elo | 1519 |
| 1.10 | Goals scored / match | 1.83 |
| 2.10 | Goals conceded / match | 0.83 |
| 0.0 | Shots / match | 0.0 |
| 30 % | Win rate | 67 % |
| 3 | Rest days | 2 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 02:25 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Vanuatu a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vanuatu win 45 %, draw 24 %, New Caledonia win 31 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 47 %, and both teams scoring at 50 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 06:00 AM (International friendlies), at HFC Bank Stadium.
The model leans towards Vanuatu at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.52 goals for Vanuatu and 1.02 for New Caledonia. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Vanuatu took 7 points and New Caledonia 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Vanuatu, 0 draws, 1 win for New Caledonia. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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