Canada
1-0
Chile
Canada – Chile
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 27, 08:10 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.00 – 0.83
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Canada 1-0 Chile. The model predicted a win for Canada (67 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.00 goals for Canada and 0.83 for Chile. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Canada took 7 points and Chile 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Canada, 1 draw, 0 wins for Chile. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Canada | 1.66 | 57 % | +11.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | -28.4 % |
| 2Chile | 5.00 | 19 % | -28.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Canada
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chile
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Canada
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Chile
- Canada0-0Chile
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Canada – Chile?
Final score: Canada 1-0 Chile. The model predicted a win for Canada (67 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Canada – Chile?
Our model gives 1 · Canada a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Canada win 67 %, draw 19 %, Chile win 14 %.