United States
4-1
Peru
United States – Peru
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 26, 07:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.99 – 0.86
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: United States 4-1 Peru. The model predicted a win for United States (65 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 1.99 goals for United States and 0.86 for Peru. Bookmakers say the same thing: 61 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, United States took 9 points and Peru 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1United States | 1.54 | 61 % | +0.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | -16.8 % |
| 2Peru | 5.75 | 16 % | -15.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
United States
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Peru
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of United States – Peru?
Final score: United States 4-1 Peru. The model predicted a win for United States (65 %): correct prediction.
Who will win United States – Peru?
Our model gives 1 · United States a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: United States win 65 %, draw 20 %, Peru win 15 %.