Slovakia
2-0
Moldova
Slovakia – Moldova
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 26, 07:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 69 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.22 – 0.83
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Slovakia 2-0 Moldova. The model predicted a win for Slovakia (69 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.22 goals for Slovakia and 0.83 for Moldova. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 80 %. Over their last five matches, Slovakia took 7 points and Moldova 2 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slovakia | 1.15 | 80 % | -20.1 % |
| XDraw | 7.00 | 13 % | +29.4 % |
| 2Moldova | 14.00 | 7 % | +68.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Slovakia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Moldova
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Slovakia – Moldova?
Final score: Slovakia 2-0 Moldova. The model predicted a win for Slovakia (69 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Slovakia – Moldova?
Our model gives 1 · Slovakia a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Slovakia win 69 %, draw 18 %, Moldova win 12 %.