Czechia
1-2
Croatia
Czechia – Croatia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 26, 07:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.47
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Czechia 1-2 Croatia. The model predicted a win for Croatia (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.28 goals for Czechia and 1.47 for Croatia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Czechia took 7 points and Croatia 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Czechia, 1 draw, 1 win for Croatia. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Czechia | 3.30 | 28 % | +9.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -18.8 % |
| 2Croatia | 2.10 | 44 % | -10.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Czechia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Croatia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Czechia
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Croatia
- Czechia0-0Croatia
- Croatia5-1Czechia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Czechia – Croatia?
Final score: Czechia 1-2 Croatia. The model predicted a win for Croatia (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Czechia – Croatia?
Our model gives 2 · Croatia a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Czechia win 33 %, draw 24 %, Croatia win 43 %.