Who wins? Editable until kick-off.

Albania
08:45 PM
Sep 26

Belarus
No odds available for this match.
Albania
Belarus
| Albania | Form and statistics | Belarus |
|---|---|---|
| 1504 | Elo | 1483 |
| 0.90 | Goals scored / match | 1.30 |
| 0.90 | Goals conceded / match | 2.10 |
| 5.7 | Shots / match | 7.3 |
| 50 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 30 | Rest days | 30 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 26, 07:49 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Albania a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Albania win 47 %, draw 25 %, Belarus win 28 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 44 %, and both teams scoring at 49 %.
No odds are available for this match yet.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 08:45 PM (Nations League), at Air Albania Stadium.
The model leans towards Albania at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.41 goals for Albania and 1.02 for Belarus. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Albania took no points and Belarus 11 points. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
No odds available for this match.
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