San Marino
0-7
Finland
San Marino – Finland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 26, 07:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.88 – 1.97
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: San Marino 0-7 Finland. The model predicted a win for Finland (62 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.88 goals for San Marino and 1.97 for Finland. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 87 %. Over their last five matches, San Marino took 1 point and Finland 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for San Marino, 0 draws, 2 wins for Finland. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1San Marino | 26.00 | 4 % | +366.4 % |
| XDraw | 9.50 | 10 % | +93.7 % |
| 2Finland | 1.07 | 87 % | -34.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
San Marino
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Finland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- San Marino
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Finland
- San Marino1-2Finland
- Finland6-0San Marino
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of San Marino – Finland?
Final score: San Marino 0-7 Finland. The model predicted a win for Finland (62 %): correct prediction.
Who will win San Marino – Finland?
Our model gives 2 · Finland a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: San Marino win 18 %, draw 20 %, Finland win 62 %.