Ceuta
3-1
Real Sociedad II
Ceuta – Real Sociedad II
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 26, 07:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ceuta 3-1 Real Sociedad II. The model predicted a win for Ceuta (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.24 goals for Ceuta and 1.23 for Real Sociedad II. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Ceuta took 1 point and Real Sociedad II 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Ceuta, 1 draw, 0 wins for Real Sociedad II. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ceuta | 2.60 | 37 % | -3.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | +1.2 % |
| 2Real Sociedad II | 2.65 | 36 % | -11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ceuta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Sociedad II
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Ceuta
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Real Sociedad II
- Ceuta0-0Real Sociedad II
- Real Sociedad II1-3Ceuta
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ceuta – Real Sociedad II?
Final score: Ceuta 3-1 Real Sociedad II. The model predicted a win for Ceuta (37 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Ceuta – Real Sociedad II?
Our model gives 1 · Ceuta a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ceuta win 37 %, draw 29 %, Real Sociedad II win 34 %.