Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Morocco
2-0
Gabon
Morocco – Gabon
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 25, 07:46 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 78 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.39 – 0.74
The short version
Final score: Morocco 2-0 Gabon. The model predicted a win for Morocco (78 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.39 goals for Morocco and 0.74 for Gabon. Bookmakers say the same thing: 79 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Morocco took 10 points and Gabon 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Morocco, 0 draws, 0 wins for Gabon. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Morocco | 1.15 | 79 % | -10.3 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 14 % | -8.6 % |
| 2Gabon | 14.00 | 7 % | +11.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Morocco
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Gabon
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Morocco
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Gabon
- Gabon1-5Morocco
- Morocco4-1Gabon
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Morocco – Gabon?
Final score: Morocco 2-0 Gabon. The model predicted a win for Morocco (78 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Morocco – Gabon?
Our model gives 1 · Morocco a 78 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Morocco win 78 %, draw 14 %, Gabon win 8 %.